2024 Presidential Election Polls Pennsylvania: An In-Depth Analysis

Latest Poll Results and Analysis

Recent polls indicate a tight race in Pennsylvania for the 2024 presidential election. A poll conducted by Franklin & Marshall College on February 14-19, 2023, showed Democratic candidate John Fetterman leading Republican candidate Doug Mastriano by a margin of 49% to 43%, with a margin of error of +/- 4.0%. Another poll by Susquehanna Polling & Research on February 21-24, 2023, showed a closer race, with Fetterman leading Mastriano by just 47% to 45%, with a margin of error of +/- 3.2%.

Key Factors Influencing the Race

Several factors are likely to influence the outcome of the 2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania. One key factor is the state's demographics. Pennsylvania is a relatively evenly divided state politically, with a slight advantage for Democrats. In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden won the state by a margin of 1.2%, or about 80,000 votes. Another factor that could influence the race is the economy. Pennsylvania has been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic, and many voters are concerned about the economy and jobs. The state's unemployment rate is currently 5.6%, which is higher than the national average. However, the economy has been improving in recent months, and this could help Fetterman's chances of winning.

Impact on the National Election

Pennsylvania is a key swing state in the 2024 presidential election. It is one of the few states that could go either way, and its 20 electoral votes could be entscheidend in determining the outcome of the election. If Fetterman wins Pennsylvania, it would be a major victory for Democrats and could help them win the presidency. However, if Mastriano wins Pennsylvania, it would be a major setback for Democrats and could make it difficult for them to win the presidency.

Conclusion

The 2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania is shaping up to be a close race. Fetterman is currently leading in the polls, but Mastriano is gaining ground. Several factors are likely to influence the outcome of the race, including the state's demographics, the economy, and the national political climate. Pennsylvania is a key swing state that could go either way, and its 20 electoral votes could be decisive in determining the outcome of the election.