2024 Swing States Presidential Polls

Early Polling Shows Tight Races in Key Battleground States

As the 2024 presidential election draws near, polls in swing states are showing competitive races between the Democratic and Republican candidates.

In Florida, a recent poll by the University of North Florida found that Democratic incumbent Joe Biden leads Republican challenger Ron DeSantis by just four points, 47% to 43%. This is a slight increase from Biden's two-point lead in a poll conducted in January.

Pennsylvania Tightens, Georgia Leans Republican

In Pennsylvania, another key swing state, a poll by Franklin & Marshall College found that Biden and DeSantis are tied at 45%. This is a significant shift from February, when Biden held a six-point lead.

In Georgia, a poll by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution found that DeSantis leads Biden by five points, 48% to 43%. This is a slight decrease from DeSantis's seven-point lead in January.

Other Swing States Remain Competitive

Polls in other swing states also show competitive races.

In Michigan, a poll by the Detroit Free Press found that Biden leads DeSantis by four points, 47% to 43%.

In Wisconsin, a poll by Marquette University found that Biden and DeSantis are tied at 45%.

Methodology and Limitations

These polls were conducted using different methodologies and have different margins of error. The University of North Florida poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, the Franklin & Marshall College poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points, the Detroit Free Press poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, and the Marquette University poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.

Disclaimer

It is important to note that these polls are just snapshots in time and may not reflect the actual results of the election. Many factors could affect the outcome of the election, including the candidates' campaigns, the state of the economy, and national events.