2024 Tamil Nadu Election Opinion Poll

Key Highlights

• The latest opinion poll for the 2024 Tamil Nadu Assembly election shows that the ruling Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) is leading with 35% of the vote share.
• The main opposition party, the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK), is trailing behind with 28% of the vote share.
• The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is in third place with 15% of the vote share.

Analysis

The DMK's lead is attributed to its strong performance in the 2021 Assembly election, in which it won 133 seats. The party has also been able to maintain its popularity through a series of populist measures, including the introduction of a free breakfast scheme for school children.

The AIADMK, on the other hand, has been struggling to regain its footing after its defeat in the 2021 election. The party has been plagued by infighting and leadership issues.

The BJP has been making inroads in Tamil Nadu in recent years, but it still faces an uphill battle to become a major player in the state. The party's main challenge is to attract voters from the Dravidian parties, which have a strong hold on the state's politics.

Conclusion

The 2024 Tamil Nadu Assembly election is shaping up to be a close contest between the DMK and the AIADMK. The BJP is also a factor, but it is still a long shot to win the election.