Swing States List

Already Lost

Due to it's large number of electoral voters, Florida is often thought of as the most important of the swing states. With 29 electoral votes, it's the largest swing state and it has gone for the winner of the popular vote in all but one election since 1964. The state voted for Donald Trump by a margin of 1.2% in 2016. Joe Biden won the state by a margin of 0.4% in 2020.

Ohio has swung back and forth between Democrats and Republicans in recent elections. Trump won the state in 2016 by a margin of 8.1% while Biden won the state by a margin of 2.1% in 2020.

Toss-Ups

With 20 electoral votes, Pennsylvania is the fifth largest swing state. Like Ohio, it narrowly voted for Trump in 2016 by a margin of 0.7% and narrowly voted for Biden in 2020 by a margin of 1.2%.

Michigan narrowly voted for Trump in 2016 by a margin of 0.3%. Biden won it by a margin of 3.3% in 2020.

Wisconsin is another Rust Belt swing state that Trump won narrowly in 2016 by a margin of 0.8%. Biden won the state by a margin of 0.6% in 2020.

Leaning Republican

North Carolina is a swing state that has trended Republican in recent elections. Trump won the state by a margin of 3.7% in 2016 and by a margin of 1.3% in 2020.

Georgia is a swing state that has trended Republican in recent elections. Trump won the state by a margin of 5.1% in 2016 and by a margin of 0.3% in 2020.

Texas is a swing state that has trended Republican in recent elections. Trump won the state by a margin of 9.0% in 2016 and by a margin of 5.6% in 2020.

Leaning Democrat

Arizona is a swing state that has trended Democratic in recent elections. Trump won the state by a margin of 4.8% in 2016 while Biden won the state by a margin of 0.3% in 2020.

Minnesota narrowly voted for Trump in 2016 by a margin of 1.5%. Biden won the state by a margin of 7.1% in 2020.

New Hampshire narrowly voted for Trump in 2016 by a margin of 0.4%. Biden won the state by a margin of 7.4% in 2020.